You may remember that this was a very big deal last year when DVOA did not have Kansas City rated as highly as conventional wisdom. This is not the entire explanation, but it looks like once again we're going to run into a problem with the Kansas City Chiefs taking their foot off the gas. Kansas City's single-game rating was 15.9%. How on earth did they drop in DVOA this week? Why did the other blowouts in Week 16 end up so much better in DVOA? Even with opponent adjustments, the Bengals, Cowboys, Eagles, Buccaneers, and Dolphins all ended up with single-game ratings above 50%. They won the game easily and coasted through the second half. The Chiefs are everybody's Super Bowl favorite - including ours. This is the team that is pretty much regarded as the best in the NFL by acclamation. Kansas City's total DVOA actually dropped this week, from 18.5% to 17.6%. sixth in total DVOA and fifth in weighted DVOA. This week, after beating Pittsburgh by a very comfortable 36-10 margin, the Chiefs are. Last week, the Chiefs ranked sixth in total DVOA and fourth in weighted DVOA. Arizona is now down to 14th in weighted DVOA after losing this week to Indianapolis.īut the strangest movement of the week belongs to Kansas City. Green Bay hops to eighth, past San Francisco, and Philadelphia moves up to 10th, passing the Chargers and the Cardinals. Tampa Bay falls one spot from second to third. Week 1 games are now gone.īuffalo hops up from fifth to second after beating New England, and the Patriots drop from first to fourth. This is the first week where a game has completely disappeared from the weighted DVOA formula. However, there's more movement for the weighted DVOA ratings that lower the importance of early games. The rest of the top 10 remarkably stays the same despite some big one-sided results on the schedule this week. 1 defense but are strong all around: eighth on offense and fourth on special teams. With their huge 56-14 blowout of Washington, the Dallas Cowboys climbed into the top spot for both full-season and weighted DVOA, passing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFL Week 16 - We've got a new team on top of the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings this week.
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